High oil prices enable Shell and Exxon to make
$195bn
How much?! Over the past
three months Exxon, Shell and BP sold around
$300billion of oil between them. That is a very,
very large number so for everyone who likes to
swear and grumble at these oily fat cats - your
moment has come.
Big oil is certainly
worried. First out of the blocks with its
results, BP sought to play down the size of its
profits, and moaned about how badly it had been
hit by the hurricanes in the Gulf, even though
Shell was far worse affected. So lacking in
enthusiasm was BP about its results that its
share price fell on the day.
And from America a real sign
of the times: Lee Raymond, Exxon's chief
executive and the toughest man in the business,
making soothing noises while declaring profit of
$9.92billion and revenues of $100.7billion. We
did all we could to improve supply of oil, said
Raymond, and "acted responsibly in pricing at
our company-operated service stations".
Raymond has many skills, but
public relations is not in his top 10. A better
strategy for Exxon, BP and Shell to calm
bumptious politicians and an outraged public
would be to suggest that they follow the money
and start talking about where the $300billion
goes.
The largest chunk of it is
used to pay for extracting oil, and then selling
it. With almost all of the world's oil found in
unstable and testing places, only the likes of
BP and Shell have the scale and political clout
to operate in these territories. Shell has
already ploughed $10billion this year into
drilling for new supplies and without such
expenditure, oil would be a genuinely scarce
commodity.
If you think Big Oil is
coining it in, how about Big Saudi, or Mexico,
or Iran? The transfer of wealth to oil producers
from countries without oil, such as France, has
not been so great since 1970s. Luxury goods
sales are booming, in London particularly.
Much of the money also flows
into tax. Shell paid 40pc tax on its profits in
the quarter, BP slightly less.
And then there are the
dividends: Shell paid $2billion in the quarter
and bought back 1pc of its shares. Out of the
£39billion paid out in dividends by UK companies
last year, BP and Shell accounted for £5billion
of it.
What is left is a sizeable
profit, but only at a slim margin. Shell's is
7.8pc and BP's is 4.6pc this quarter.
This sort of return would
hardly please the heads of a hedge fund,
especially given that oil is a messy business,
fraught with political risk. No wonder the
Rockefeller family moved out of it and into
something relatively far more profitable -
banking.